Demographic (population) patterns are leading to internal and regional instability all around the world. Each instance, potentially impacts U.S. interests, especially in the middle east.
Japan’s and Russia’s populations, among others, are growing old. This leads to more instability – financially and militarily. These nations will be forced to divert military spending to social welfare programs. Some nations which have no success at this, also have a history of solving problems militarily.
There is a “youth bulge” in 3rd world countries, with little and decreasing opportunities for education, security, jobs, marriage and family, therefore increasing the potential unrest.
It’s forecast that the greater Indian Ocean will be the center of 21st century operations. Most the world’s oil transits the area. India, Pakistan and other radical Muslim nations also proliferate the area.
Urban environment is more expensive for the infrastructure as well as harder to govern.
The world is evolving into mega cities; cities are over-populated by young men without jobs, increasing the tension, and demanding government solve the resulting problems.
- There are 468 cities worldwide with population over 1 million;
- There are 25 cities with population over 10 million.
- 50% of world population live in cities today.
- By 2025, 2/3’s of population will live in cities.
The more compact and population-intense the cities become, the more problems result and the more demands for policing increases.